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Gold prices are influenced by interest rates, inflation expectations, central-bank policies, currency movements, geopolitical developments, economic conditions and changes in supply and demand.
These factors can also influence corporate planning, treasury operations and the wider business environment.
This quarterly VIN challenge asks participants to forecast both the highest and lowest LBMA Gold PM Price during Q4 2026.
Your forecast and reasoning become part of the VIN Collective Intelligence Forecast.
FORECAST OBJECTIVE
FORECAST OBJECTIVE
Forecast:
1. The lowest LBMA Gold PM Price during Q4 2026
2. The highest LBMA Gold PM Price during Q4 2026
Provide both forecasts through the Quarterly Range Assessment Form and explain the principal factors influencing your assessment.
REFERENCE BENCHMARK
REFERENCE BENCHMARK
Benchmark: LBMA Gold PM Price
Forecast Period: 1 October 2026 – 31 December 2026
Forecast Submission Closes: 15 November 2026
VERIFICATION METHOD
VERIFICATION METHOD
The winning forecasts will be determined by comparing participant forecasts with the actual LBMA Gold PM Price recorded during the forecast period.
The lowest-price forecast will be evaluated against the actual lowest LBMA Gold PM Price recorded during Q4 2026.
The highest-price forecast will be evaluated against the actual highest LBMA Gold PM Price recorded during Q4 2026.
Historical benchmark values may be referenced from established historical London gold benchmark databases.
The detailed method for determining forecast accuracy and winners will be governed by the applicable VIN challenge rules.
PARTICIPATION RULES
PARTICIPATION RULES
One active quarterly range assessment per registered member.
Both the highest and lowest forecasts should be submitted.
Forecasts may be updated any number of times before the survey closes.
Only the latest submission before the closing time will be considered.
Participation is free.
Participants may be eligible for discounted access to the Q4 2026 Gold Report.
Survey results will be provided to eligible participants/purchasers if available, subject to the applicable terms.
RECOGNITION
RECOGNITION
Participants whose forecasts most accurately correspond with the actual benchmark results will be recognized on the VIN Leaderboard and may become eligible for rewards, badges and other recognition under the applicable challenge rules.
SURVEY TIMELINE
SURVEY TIMELINE
Forecast Submission Closes: 15 November 2026
All participant forecasts and supporting reasoning submitted up to the closing date will be compiled and processed.
Preliminary Survey Results: After the forecast submission closes, VIN will publish the aggregated participant survey results, subject to the availability and processing of the submitted responses. These results will reflect the collective forecasts and perspectives of the participating community.
Forecast Period: 1 October – 31 December 2026
Final Challenge Results: After completion of the forecast period, the actual reference benchmark prices will be obtained and verified. VIN will then publish the final results, including the verified benchmark outcomes and the winning forecast(s), in accordance with the applicable challenge rules.
Q4 REPORT & SURVEY RESULTS
Q4 REPORT & SURVEY RESULTS
VIN has prepared a substantive Q4 2026 Gold Report covering the macroeconomic environment, major price drivers, scenarios, forecast ranges and factors that may influence gold during the quarter.
Participants who contribute to the quarterly survey may be eligible to purchase the report at a special contributor price.
Aggregated survey results will be provided to eligible participants and purchasers if available.
If survey results are not available after the survey closes, VIN may, at its discretion, provide a subsequent update to eligible purchasers without additional charge. Such an update is not guaranteed.
Applicable pricing and terms will be displayed before purchase.
NOTICE
NOTICE
Valuerelay Intelligence Network (VIN) is an open research and collective-intelligence platform hosted by Value Relay Private Limited. Its community challenges, tracking indexes and collective surveys are designed to generate research and benchmarking insights for business, operational and supply-chain decision-making.
VIN does not operate financial trading rooms, commodity brokerage services or financial derivatives, and its challenges do not constitute investment advice or speculative trading services.
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