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Energy prices influence fuel procurement, transportation, logistics, manufacturing and operating costs. Changes in supply, refining capacity, inventories, shipping conditions, geopolitical developments and global demand can create significant price movements.
This quarterly VIN challenge asks participants to forecast both the highest and lowest Europe Brent Spot Price (FOB) during Q4 2026.
Whether your forecast is based on energy-market research, supply-chain experience, macroeconomic analysis, geopolitical developments or industry knowledge, your contribution becomes part of the VIN Collective Intelligence Forecast
FORECAST OBJECTIVE
FORECAST OBJECTIVE
Forecast:
1. The lowest Europe Brent Spot Price (FOB) during Q4 2026
2. The highest Europe Brent Spot Price (FOB) during Q4 2026
You will provide both forecasts together through the Quarterly Range Assessment Form.
You may also provide the principal factors and reasoning behind your forecasts.
REFERENCE BENCHMARK
REFERENCE BENCHMARK
Benchmark: Europe Brent Spot Price (FOB)
Forecast Period: 1 October 2026 – 31 December 2026
Forecast Submission Closes: 15 November 2026
The forecast is concerned with the actual highest and lowest reference prices recorded during the Q4 forecast period.
VERIFICATION METHOD
VERIFICATION METHOD
The winning forecasts will be determined by comparing participant forecasts with the actual Europe Brent Spot Price (FOB) recorded during the forecast period.
The lowest-price forecast will be evaluated against the actual lowest reference price recorded during Q4 2026.
The highest-price forecast will be evaluated against the actual highest reference price recorded during Q4 2026.
Historical and verification data may be referenced from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) daily Europe Brent Spot Price database.
The detailed method for determining forecast accuracy and winners will be governed by the applicable VIN challenge rules.
PARTICIPATION RULES
PARTICIPATION RULES
One active quarterly range assessment per registered member.
Participants provide both a highest-price forecast and a lowest-price forecast.
You may update your forecasts any number of times before the survey closes.
Only your latest submission before the closing time will be considered.
Participation in the challenge is free.
Participants may be eligible for discounted access to the related Q4 2026 report according to the applicable offer.
Survey results will be provided to eligible participants/purchasers if the results are available, subject to the applicable terms.
RECOGNITION
RECOGNITION
Participants whose forecasts most accurately correspond with the actual reference benchmark results will be recognized on the VIN Leaderboard and may become eligible for rewards, badges and other recognition in accordance with the applicable challenge rules.
The purpose of the competition is to encourage participants to make their most considered and well-reasoned forecasts.
SURVEY TIMELINE
SURVEY TIMELINE
Forecast Submission Closes: 15 November 2026
All participant forecasts and supporting reasoning submitted up to the closing date will be compiled and processed.
Preliminary Survey Results: After the forecast submission closes, VIN will publish the aggregated participant survey results, subject to the availability and processing of the submitted responses. These results will reflect the collective forecasts and perspectives of the participating community.
Forecast Period: 1 October – 31 December 2026
Final Challenge Results: After completion of the forecast period, the actual reference benchmark prices will be obtained and verified. VIN will then publish the final results, including the verified benchmark outcomes and the winning forecast(s), in accordance with the applicable challenge rules.
Q4 REPORT & SURVEY RESULTS
Q4 REPORT & SURVEY RESULTS
VIN has prepared a substantive Q4 2026 Energy / Brent Report covering the market environment, major drivers, scenarios, forecast ranges and factors that may influence the commodity during the quarter.
Participants who contribute to the quarterly survey may be eligible to purchase the report at a special contributor price.
The aggregated survey results will be made available to eligible participants and purchasers if the survey results are available.
If the survey results are not available after the survey closes, VIN may, at its discretion, provide a subsequent update to eligible purchasers without additional charge. Availability of such an update is not guaranteed.
The applicable report price, contributor discount and terms will be displayed before purchase.
NOTICE
NOTICE
Valuerelay Intelligence Network (VIN) is an open research and collective-intelligence platform hosted by Value Relay Private Limited. Its community challenges, tracking indexes and collective surveys are designed to generate research and benchmarking insights for business, operational and supply-chain decision-making.
VIN does not operate financial trading rooms, commodity brokerage services or financial derivatives, and its challenges do not constitute investment advice or speculative trading services.
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